Hurricanes are so predictable--Yeah right!
It has been amusing watching meteorologists trying to predict the path of Hurricane Dorian. I must admit they are much better at it than they were, say, 50 years ago. A storm the size of Dorian sitting off the coast of Florida would have required the evacuation of the whole state. Now there is something called the Spaghetti Model. The Spaghetti Model is made up of many predictions of the route a hurricane may take. Some predictions may vary slightly, but for the most part the Spaghetti Model gives a general idea of what the hurricane may do, and generally speaking this general information seems to be correct, for the most part.
Meteorologists use words such as "should," "could," "might" and "possibly." They use these words because hurricanes always leave a certain amount uncertainty. They can predict the general direction, but the exact details are beyond their grasp. So, for safety's sake they warn that certain counties in certain states should board up their properties and evacuate. Then the hurricane changes direction slightly and everyone is mad. But imagine what it would be like if no warnings were given, no predictions made, and everyone was surprised by a hurricane making landfall in their neighborhood.
Puerto Rico was warned they were in the path of Dorian, but a slight change in direction spared them. That slight change in direction put the Bahamas in the direct path. They were warned of the coming storm. Nobody really knew how severe and devastating it was going to be. Some left the islands; others did not have that choice. Some made wise decisions, others not so wise. Many just did the best they could. And now the meteorologist can report facts: wind speed, pressure, amount of rain fall, actual direction it took, devastation it left behind.
We all know that storms, real and figurative, come in life. We can sometimes predict the general direction they come from the path they may take. The details of those storms are still elusive. Some can dodge those storms while others cannot. Some make wise decisions and others not so wise. The real truth is that many, if not most, just simply do the best they can. One truth seems to be rather consistent... after most storms there is hurt, pain, and sometimes devastation. Often, after the storm is when humanity is at its best.
The lyrics of an old hymn comes to mind... "Through the storm, through the night, lead me on to the light, take my hand precious Lord, lead me home."
This is my story...